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Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index Analysis: Cotton Fibre Market Trends, Prices & Forecast

TexPro provides pricing information for Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index, covering subproducts such as 28 mm, It offers historical pricing data for up to the last five years. It also provides an accurate price forecast for the next “9/12” months, updated twice a month. The data is collected from our verified primary and secondary data sources.

Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index, 28 mm, Domestic - Brazil (03 Jun 2024 - 30 May 2025)

Overall Trend

  • The prices of Brazilian cotton (CEPEA/ESALQ Index, 28 mm) have shown an upward trend from June 2024 to May 2025 in South America (Domestic Brazil), reflecting a 5.59% increase in prices over the period.

Price Trend

  • The prices of Brazilian cotton (CEPEA/ESALQ Index, 28 mm) have increased by 5.59% from June 2024 to May 2025 in South America (Domestic Brazil).
  • The average month-on-month percentage change has been 0.53% during the same period, indicating a consistent upward movement in prices.
  • The highest percentage increase of 4.64% was reported in February 2025, showcasing a significant spike in demand or market conditions, while the highest percentage decrease of -3.85% was observed in November 2024, possibly due to seasonal factors or market corrections.
  • The average price for Brazilian cotton in 2024 was 1.564 USD/kg, which has increased to 1.604 USD/kg in 2025, reflecting a CAGR of 2.54% from 2024 to 2025.

Price Range

  • The average price from June 2024 to May 2025 for Brazilian cotton was 1.5808 USD/kg, indicating that the prices have fluctuated around this average. The range between average and minimum price is 0.0908 USD/kg and that of between maximum and average price is 0.1192 USD/kg, indicating a higher range above average price. The minimum price reported was 1.49 USD/kg, and the maximum price was 1.70 USD/kg, showing a price range of 0.21 USD/kg.
  • The average price from June 2024 to May 2025 indicates that the prices have been relatively stable, with fluctuations remaining within a manageable range, which is crucial for procurement strategies in the textile industry.

Volatility

  • The standard deviation in Brazilian cotton prices was 0.0575 USD/kg, indicating low volatility in the market. This stability is beneficial for manufacturers and retailers as it allows for better forecasting and budgeting.
  • The prices for Brazilian cotton traded at a moving average premium of 3.43% and at a moving average discount of -3.41% from the moving average price during the same period. This suggests that while there are periods of higher pricing, there are also times when prices dip below the average, providing opportunities for cost-effective sourcing.

This analysis highlights the dynamic nature of the cotton market in South America, particularly in Brazil, and underscores the importance of monitoring price trends and fluctuations for effective market positioning and procurement strategies in the textile industry.

Trend Report

The average price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index has increased by 4.64% in the month of May 2025 as compared to April 2025. The price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index has been above its last six months average price by 7.38%. The price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index has grown by a CAGR of 0.5% in last one year. The price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index in the month of May 2025 has increased by 2.81% as compared to the same month last year.

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Brazilian Cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index – Product Overview & Market Insight

The Brazilian cotton market, tracked through the CEPEA/ESALQ Index, is a vital component of South America’s textile supply chain. This index, developed by the University of São Paulo and the Center for Advanced Studies on Applied Economics (CEPEA), provides a transparent and reliable benchmark for domestic cotton pricing in Brazil. It reflects real-time market activity and serves as a strategic reference for cotton growers, traders, manufacturers, and textile exporters.

Brazilian cotton is known for its 28 mm staple length, good fiber strength, and consistent quality, making it well-suited for a wide range of textile applications, from everyday garments to home textiles and technical fabrics. Domestic market pricing under the CEPEA/ESALQ Index is influenced by harvest conditions, internal logistics, local consumption, and regional supply-demand dynamics. Unlike export-driven indices such as Bremen, this index offers a closer view of internal cotton trading and production costs within Brazil.

As one of the world’s leading cotton producers, Brazil emphasizes sustainability, innovation, and scale in its cotton farming. Many Brazilian farms meet international certifications such as ABR (Responsible Brazilian Cotton) and BCI (Better Cotton Initiative), ensuring that buyers sourcing through domestic channels align with global sustainability expectations.

TexPro delivers a comprehensive analysis of pricing trends, monthly movements, and year-on-year comparisons for cotton under the CEPEA/ESALQ Index. With insights into volatility, price range fluctuations, and forecasted outlooks, this tool equips textile businesses and procurement managers to make informed sourcing decisions, manage budgets efficiently, and adapt to market shifts.

As Brazilian cotton continues to support domestic textile production and serves as a reliable raw material for regional industries, tracking the CEPEA/ESALQ Index remains essential for anyone involved in Brazil’s cotton value chain.